PHILADELPHIA, PA – JANUARY 21: A detailed view of two Philadelphia Eagles Kickers equipment bags with NFL footballs are seen laying on the ground during the NFC Championship Game between the Minnesota Vikings and the Philadelphia Eagles on January 21, 2018 at the Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The Philadelphia Eagles defeated the Minnesota Vikings by the score of 38-7. (Photo by Robin Alam/Icon Sportswire) – Fantasy Football: Week Three Snap Share Report
It was a crazy week no doubt about it and we are here to help you decipher the snap share, carry split, and target shares for some of the winners and losers in Week 3. This week we will begin to identify trends in snaps as well as recommendations on what this means for your fantasy football team. These recommendations are based on a combination of things that will be discussed for each player.
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Week 3 Waiver Wire Targets
Week 3 FAAB Cheat Sheet
Fantasy Football Rankings
Fantasy Football Trade Value Charts
Significant Movers (>20% change in Snaps and 5% in Carry or Target Share)
Name
Team
Pos
Weekly Snap Change
Weekly Carry Change
Week 2 Snap
Week 2 Target
Week 2 Carry
Week 3 Snap
Week 3 Target
Week 3 Carry
Doubs
GB
WR
52%
#N/A
37%
12%
#N/A
89%
24%
#N/A
Jeudy
DEN
WR
45%
#N/A
14%
11%
3%
59%
19%
#N/A
Herbert
CHI
RB
40%
35%
20%
9%
15%
60%
13%
50%
Conner
ARI
RB
39%
37%
21%
9%
25%
60%
9%
62%
Sherfield
MIA
WR
28%
#N/A
35%
4%
#N/A
63%
5%
#N/A
Henry
TEN
RB
28%
26%
46%
#N/A
48%
74%
23%
74%
Agholor
NEP
WR
26%
#N/A
50%
18%
#N/A
76%
9%
#N/A
Smythe
MIA
TE
25%
#N/A
49%
2%
#N/A
74%
15%
#N/A
Zaccheaus
ATL
WR
24%
#N/A
43%
8%
#N/A
67%
9%
#N/A
Hall
NYJ
RB
24%
3%
27%
2%
37%
51%
23%
40%
Wilson
SF
RB
24%
23%
49%
8%
40%
73%
10%
63%
Burks
TEN
WR
24%
#N/A
45%
27%
#N/A
69%
8%
4%
Tremble
CAR
TE
22%
#N/A
17%
#N/A
#N/A
39%
4%
#N/A
Crowder
BUF
WR
21%
#N/A
28%
5%
#N/A
49%
5%
#N/A
Parker
NEP
WR
21%
#N/A
76%
6%
#N/A
97%
31%
#N/A
Swaim
TEN
TE
21%
#N/A
48%
#N/A
#N/A
69%
12%
#N/A
Henry
NEP
TE
20%
#N/A
50%
3%
#N/A
70%
3%
#N/A
Romeo Doubs has arrived. One way to get in the graces of Aaron Rodgers is to catch the ball when he throws it to you. Doubs went 8 for 8 and a touchdown while seeing 89% of snaps and a 24% target share. Even when Sammy Watkins returns I believe Doubs has proven he deserves a role in this offense. Rodgers believes so and so should you.
“The thing about Romeo that gives you confidence is the majority of the time he catches the ball with his hands.”
We heard the rumblings about how Khalil Herbert fit the offensive scheme better than David Montgomery in the offseason. We saw it in Week One, however, in Week Two David Montgomery delivered a great performance. Now Montgomery is nursing an injury that will likely keep him out for a few weeks. With the full workload, Herbert only went on to be the overall RB1 in Week Three with over 140 yards rushing and 2 touchdowns.
The New England Patriots have been an interesting study the first three weeks as well. The wide receivers seemed to normalize this week with Devante Parker going back to 97% of the snaps and showing why he deserved the new contract. With a 31% target share, I expect the QB replacement for Mac Jones to lean on the alpha WR.
Romeo Doubs – Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pick-Up
Khalil Herbert – Fantasy Football Buy (should be owned)
Devante Parker – Fantasy Football Flex Play
Noticeable Movers (Between 10-20% increase in snaps)
Name
Team
Pos
Weekly Snap Change
Weekly Carry Change
Week 2 Snap
Week 2 Target
Week 2 Carry
Week 3 Snap
Week 3 Target
Week 3 Carry
Henry
NEP
TE
20%
#N/A
50%
3%
#N/A
70%
3%
#N/A
Singletary
BUF
RB
19%
11%
54%
10%
29%
73%
19%
39%
Hairston
HOU
RB
18%
#N/A
11%
#N/A
#N/A
29%
#N/A
#N/A
Tonyan
GB
TE
18%
#N/A
40%
8%
#N/A
58%
21%
#N/A
Waller
LV
TE
18%
#N/A
55%
21%
#N/A
73%
12%
#N/A
Rogers
WAS
TE
17%
#N/A
1%
#N/A
#N/A
18%
#N/A
#N/A
St.Brown
CHI
WR
15%
#N/A
71%
36%
#N/A
86%
13%
5%
Guyton
LAC
WR
15%
#N/A
11%
#N/A
#N/A
26%
7%
#N/A
Hines
IND
RB
15%
3%
30%
17%
8%
45%
17%
10%
Hardman
KCC
WR
14%
#N/A
54%
12%
6%
68%
3%
#N/A
Perine
CIN
RB
14%
28%
20%
3%
4%
34%
6%
32%
Tomlinson
DEN
TE
14%
#N/A
33%
#N/A
#N/A
47%
#N/A
#N/A
Chark
DET
WR
13%
#N/A
66%
12%
#N/A
79%
16%
#N/A
Ellefson
MIN
TE
13%
#N/A
5%
#N/A
#N/A
18%
6%
#N/A
Ham
MIN
RB
13%
#N/A
5%
#N/A
#N/A
18%
8%
#N/A
Thomas
CIN
WR
12%
#N/A
1%
#N/A
#N/A
13%
#N/A
#N/A
Hill
BAL
RB
12%
8%
36%
#N/A
15%
48%
#N/A
23%
Johnson
PIT
WR
12%
#N/A
86%
30%
#N/A
98%
34%
#N/A
Cobb
GB
WR
11%
#N/A
29%
12%
#N/A
40%
6%
#N/A
Saubert
DEN
TE
11%
#N/A
36%
7%
#N/A
47%
#N/A
#N/A
Williams
DET
RB
11%
7%
34%
3%
50%
45%
5%
57%
Dortch
ARI
WR
10%
#N/A
71%
9%
#N/A
81%
19%
#N/A
Brown
HOU
TE
10%
#N/A
71%
14%
#N/A
81%
13%
#N/A
Peoples-Jones
CLE
WR
10%
#N/A
78%
4%
#N/A
88%
10%
#N/A
Hollins
LV
WR
10%
#N/A
87%
21%
#N/A
97%
24%
#N/A
Hill
MIA
WR
10%
#N/A
76%
26%
#N/A
86%
20%
#N/A
The Buffalo Bills tried to bring in JD McKissic in the offseason only to lose him back to Washington. They ended up drafting James Cook out of Georgia with the intention of using him in the passing game. Devin Singletary has had something to say about that. While dominating the snaps at around 75%, he also demanded a 19% target share while getting 39% of the carries. I expect as the season wears on for Cook to get more involved though.
Robert Tonyan coming off of injury has slowly been worked back into the Green Bay offense. He started with 36%, then jumped to 40% in Week Two, and topped 58% in Week Three. Tonyan also demanded a 21% target share. He has been a red zone threat before and could fill that role again.
I have to recall my takes from earlier that talked about fading Greg Dortch. He has continued to see improved opportunities as his snap and target share increased (71% to 81% and 9% to 19%). I still expect this to change when Rondale Moore is back and De’Andre Hopkins returns in a few more weeks.
Mack Hollins is an anomaly. He has seen 88%, 87%, and 97% of snaps with the Las Vegas Raiders. He has also seen a 3%, 21%, and 24% target share. Seeing that the Raiders are running 11 personnel around 70% of plays, he has been getting solid opportunities now for 3 weeks.
Devin Singletary – Fantasy Football Sell
Robert Tonyan – Fantasy Football Buy
Greg Dortch – Fantasy Football Sell
Mack Hollins – Fantasy Football Waiver Wire pickup
Marginal Movers (Between 5 and 10% increase in snaps)
Name
Team
Pos
Weekly Snap Change
Weekly Carry Change
Weekly Target Change
Week 2 Snap
Week 2 Target
Week 2 Carry
Week 3 Snap
Week 3 Target
Week 3 Carry
Ertz
ARI
TE
9%
#N/A
-5%
84%
23%
#N/A
93%
19%
#N/A
Harris
PIT
RB
9%
0%
-9%
71%
18%
68%
80%
9%
68%
Boone
DEN
RB
9%
#N/A
#N/A
10%
#N/A
#N/A
19%
3%
#N/A
Moore
KCC
WR
9%
#N/A
#N/A
4%
#N/A
#N/A
13%
#N/A
#N/A
Hesse
ATL
TE
9%
#N/A
#N/A
66%
4%
#N/A
75%
#N/A
#N/A
Carter
LAC
WR
9%
#N/A
3%
65%
7%
#N/A
74%
10%
8%
Juszczyk
SF
RB
9%
#N/A
-1%
53%
4%
4%
62%
3%
#N/A
Berrios
NYJ
WR
8%
-6%
#N/A
23%
#N/A
11%
31%
2%
5%
Chubb
CLE
RB
8%
15%
#N/A
54%
11%
46%
62%
#N/A
61%
Everett
LAC
TE
8%
#N/A
-7%
67%
22%
#N/A
75%
15%
#N/A
Davis
NYJ
WR
8%
#N/A
1%
79%
9%
#N/A
87%
10%
#N/A
Andrews
BAL
TE
7%
#N/A
10%
83%
38%
5%
90%
48%
#N/A
Kmet
CHI
TE
7%
#N/A
10%
85%
9%
#N/A
92%
19%
#N/A
Reynolds
DET
RB
7%
5%
17%
72%
9%
13%
79%
26%
17%
Engram
JAX
TE
7%
#N/A
-19%
69%
27%
#N/A
76%
8%
3%
Beck
DEN
TE
7%
#N/A
#N/A
29%
#N/A
3%
36%
#N/A
#N/A
Raymond
DET
WR
7%
#N/A
#N/A
10%
#N/A
#N/A
17%
3%
#N/A
Akers
LAR
RB
7%
2%
#N/A
43%
9%
58%
50%
#N/A
60%
McKissic
WAS
RB
7%
-1%
6%
46%
16%
14%
53%
21%
14%
Moore
NYJ
WR
7%
#N/A
9%
87%
12%
#N/A
94%
21%
#N/A
Gordon
DEN
RB
6%
4%
16%
32%
4%
32%
38%
19%
36%
Agnew
JAX
WR
6%
#N/A
-1%
10%
3%
5%
16%
3%
#N/A
Etienne
JAX
RB
6%
12%
-2%
37%
10%
24%
43%
8%
36%
Sanders
PHI
RB
6%
0%
-7%
53%
10%
50%
59%
3%
50%
Woods
TEN
WR
6%
#N/A
12%
66%
23%
#N/A
72%
35%
#N/A
McKinnon
KCC
RB
5%
8%
-3%
47%
6%
22%
52%
3%
30%
McKenzie
BUF
WR
5%
#N/A
8%
46%
8%
#N/A
51%
16%
4%
Gainwell
PHI
RB
5%
4%
#N/A
26%
6%
6%
31%
#N/A
10%
Gentry
PIT
TE
5%
#N/A
#N/A
34%
#N/A
#N/A
39%
#N/A
#N/A
Alie-Cox
IND
TE
5%
#N/A
-2%
54%
10%
#N/A
59%
9%
#N/A
In a game where the Titans could get Derrick Henry going, Robert Woods was the benefactor. He went from 66% to 72% of snaps and saw a 35% target share. He is a few games removed from the ACL injury and likely will see improved usage as the Titans continue to improve after an abysmal start to the season.
It is official. Corey Davis is the fourth option in New York. After seeing a 16% target share in Week One, he fell to 9% and 10% over the last two weeks while Garret Wilson and Elijah Moore both saw 21% in Week Three. Even Tyler Conklin has seen a larger target share over the last two weeks.
Cam Akers has slowly seen his workload improve as the season goes on. He went from an 18% snap share in Week One to 48%, to 50% over the last two weeks. He has also seen an improvement in the team’s rushing share from weeks one to three (19%, 58%, 60%). Metrics are also pointing in the right direction as his yards per carry have improved in each of the first three weeks as well.
Robert Woods – Flex Fantasy Football Play
Corey Davis – Fantasy Football Drop Worthy
Cam Akers – Fantasy Football Buy
Significant Losers (>20% drop in Snaps and Corresponding Drops in ball share)
Name
Team
Pos
Weekly Snap Change
Weekly Carry Change
Weekly Target Change
Week 1 Snap
Week 1 Target
Week 1 Carry
Week 2 Snap
Week 2 Target
Week 2 Carry
Week 3 Snap
Week 3 Target
Week 3 Carry
Kumerow
BUF
WR
-73%
#N/A
-4%
24%
0%
#N/A
78%
8%
#N/A
5%
4%
#N/A
Montgomery
CHI
RB
-63%
-48%
#N/A
66%
24%
46%
80%
18%
56%
17%
#N/A
8%
Strachan
IND
WR
-62%
#N/A
#N/A
12%
4%
70%
10%
#N/A
8%
#N/A
#N/A
Green
ARI
WR
-51%
#N/A
-11%
74%
11%
#N/A
85%
15%
#N/A
34%
4%
#N/A
Hurst
CIN
TE
-43%
#N/A
-14%
75%
15%
#N/A
81%
20%
#N/A
38%
6%
#N/A
Dulin
IND
WR
-39%
#N/A
-21%
35%
12%
64%
24%
8%
25%
3%
#N/A
Landry
NOS
WR
-38%
#N/A
0%
72%
28%
#N/A
68%
13%
#N/A
30%
13%
#N/A
Smith
CAR
WR
-35%
#N/A
-14%
77%
12%
#N/A
71%
22%
#N/A
36%
8%
#N/A
Pringle
CHI
WR
-31%
#N/A
#N/A
17%
12%
#N/A
34%
#N/A
#N/A
3%
6%
#N/A
Dwelley
SF
TE
-30%
#N/A
#N/A
28%
8%
#N/A
37%
4%
#N/A
7%
#N/A
#N/A
Pitts
ATL
TE
-26%
#N/A
23%
84%
22%
#N/A
93%
12%
#N/A
67%
35%
#N/A
Gesicki
MIA
TE
-22%
#N/A
-3%
42%
3%
#N/A
62%
8%
#N/A
40%
5%
#N/A
Okwuegbunam
DEN
TE
-21%
#N/A
-1%
67%
15%
#N/A
53%
7%
#N/A
32%
6%
#N/A
McKitty
LAC
TE
-21%
#N/A
#N/A
60%
12%
#N/A
52%
#N/A
#N/A
31%
#N/A
#N/A
Higgins
CIN
WR
-21%
#N/A
-9%
26%
4%
89%
29%
#N/A
68%
20%
#N/A
Conklin
NYJ
TE
-21%
#N/A
-4%
92%
12%
#N/A
100%
21%
#N/A
79%
17%
#N/A
Williams
DEN
RB
-20%
-3%
2%
58%
29%
35%
65%
14%
48%
45%
16%
45%
Goedert
PHI
TE
-20%
#N/A
-7%
92%
14%
#N/A
84%
19%
#N/A
64%
12%
#N/A
A couple of roster cloggers that were highly added players in the last couple of weeks.
Ashton Dulin – Saw a 21% drop in target share and 10% drop in playing time
Shi Smith – Saw a 41% drop in snap share (most likely due to drops)
Quite a bit of Tight End movement over the last two weeks as well.
Mike Gesicki – 22% drop in snap share
Albert Okwuegbunam – 21% drop in snap share
Tyler Conklin – 21% drop in snap share
Dallas Goedert – 20% drop in snap share
With all these changes what can we read into? Well here are my recommendations.
Ashton Dulin – Fantasy Football Drop Candidate
Shi Smith – Fantasy Football Drop Candidate
Mike Gesicki – Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Candidate
Albert O – Leave on the Waiver Wire
Tyler Conklin – Fantasy Football Sell (preferably before Zach Wilson returns and CJ Uzomah is fully healthy)
Dallas Goedert – Fantasy Football Stash
